Sign In
Register
eISSN:2278-5299

International Journal of Latest Research in Science and Technology

DOI:10.29111/ijlrst   ISRA Impact Factor:3.35

A News Letter Sign UP!
EPIDEMIC COVID MATHEMATICAL MODEL

Open Access

International Journal of Latest Research in Science and Technology Vol.9 Issue 2, pp 1-5,Year 2020

EPIDEMIC COVID MATHEMATICAL MODEL

Jorge Henrique Sales

Correspondence should be addressed to :

Received : 31 March 2020; Accepted : 06 April 2020 ; Published : 12 April 2020

Share
Download 126
View 186
Article No. 10987
Abstract

This paper presents a mathematical model via non-linear systems of equations to describe the spread of the COVID-19 virus in the Italy and Brazil. The method used is that of competition between two species of Loka -Volterra. The result shows that there is a time limit to contain the spread of the virus and thus avoid an exponential increase of infected people. This time cannot exceed 60 days, because the numbers of removed (deaths) change little.

Key Words   
Nonlinear Equation, Covid 19, Epidemic Propagation, Computational modeling

Acknowledgement
Santa Cruz State University, Ilhéus-BA, Brazil
Copyright
References
  1. KSIAZEK, T.G.; ERDMAN, D; GOLDSMITH C.S.; ZAKI S.R.; et al (2003). A novel corona virus associated with severe acute respiratory syndrome.  Engl J. Med.348 (20). pp. 1953–66. 
  2. BRONSON, R. Equações Diferenciais, 2° edição. McGraw-Hill Ltda. São Paulo. 1994.
  3. BRITO, R. C. F., SALES, J. H., GAIGHER, R. C. Modelagem de um Biogerador tipo Marinha para Produção de Energia Elétrica Usando o Cacau como Aditivo, XXVI Congresso Nacional de Estudantes de Engenharia Mecânica, CREEM 2019.
  4. HOPPENSTEADT, F.C. Mathematical Methods of Population Biology. New York, Cambridge University Press, 1982.
  5. WALTMAN, P. Deterministic Theshold Models in the Teory of Epidemics. Springer Lectures Notes in Biomathematics. New York, Springer, 1974, n. 1.
  6. LINTON N.M., KOBAYASHI T, YANG Y. , HAYASHI K., AKHMETZHANOV A.R., JUNG S., YUAN B., KINOSHITA R., NISHIURA H., Incubation Period and Other Epidemiological Characteristics of 2019 Novel Coronavirus Infections with Right Truncation: A Statistical Analysis of Publicly Available Case Data. Journal of Clinical Medicine (2020) 9: 538.
  7. VALENTE, J. Covid-19: Mortes no Brasil sobem para 34 e casos confirmados são 1.891, Agência Brasil, Brasília, 2020.
To cite this article

Jorge Henrique Sales , " Epidemic Covid Mathematical Model ", International Journal of Latest Research in Science and Technology . Vol. 9, Issue 2, pp 1-5 , 2020

Responsive image

MNK Publication was founded in 2012 to upholder revolutionary ideas that would advance the research and practice of business and management. Today, we comply with to advance fresh thinking in latest scientific fields where we think we can make a real difference and growth now also including medical and social care, education,management and engineering.

Responsive image

We offers several opportunities for partnership and tie-up with individual, corporate and organizational level. We are working on the open access platform. Editors, authors, readers, librarians and conference organizer can work together. We are giving open opportunities to all. Our team is always willing to work and collaborate to promote open access publication.

Responsive image

Our Journals provide one of the strongest International open access platform for research communities. Our conference proceeding services provide conference organizers a privileged platform for publishing extended conference papers as journal publications. It is deliberated to disseminate scientific research and to establish long term International collaborations and partnerships with academic communities and conference organizers.